Last updated on November 15th, 2023 at 09:26 pm
As the countdown to the 2024 GOP presidential race intensifies, all eyes are on Iowa, the first state in the nominating process. Recent developments and polling data reveal that former President Donald Trump has established a commanding lead in the Hawkeye State, setting the stage for what could be a pivotal early victory.
The significance of Iowa in the nominating process cannot be overstated. As the anticipated caucuses draw near, the latest 2024 GOP presidential polls underscore Trump’s position as the overwhelming favorite among Republicans.
Nationally and in crucial early-voting states, Trump has not only maintained but also expanded his lead in the polls, solidifying his status as the front-runner.
“If the front-runner, in this case, Donald Trump, wins Iowa, wins New Hampshire, this is going to be a short nominating process,” observes Iowa-based GOP strategist Craig Robinson, highlighting the pivotal role of Iowa in shaping the trajectory of the nomination race.
The most recent data from Fabrizio, Lee & Associates paints a compelling picture of Trump’s dominance in Iowa. The poll results indicate that Trump enjoys a remarkable 26-point lead over Ron DeSantis, a prominent contender in the GOP field.
According to our polling average for the Iowa race, Trump commands approximately 42 percent support among likely Republican caucus-goers. This substantial lead puts him 25 points ahead of his closest competitor, Governor DeSantis. However, it’s worth noting that while Trump’s lead in Iowa is commanding, it falls short of his national average, where he commands nearly 54 percent support, establishing an almost 40-point lead over DeSantis.
In late August, the president’s dominance was further affirmed in a crucial poll conducted by the Des Moines Register, a respected Iowa-based publication. The survey revealed that a striking 42 percent of likely Republican caucus-goers in Iowa preferred President Trump as their first choice for the Republican presidential nomination. Governor DeSantis, while a significant contender, trailed with 19 percent as the second choice.
Iowa’s caucuses, slated for January 2024, will kickstart the primary election cycle, setting the stage for the nation’s anticipated general election in November 2024. As the caucuses draw near, the state becomes a focal point for campaign activities and candidate engagements.
This weekend, Trump will revisit Iowa, making a notable appearance at a football game featuring the University of Iowa versus Iowa State University in Des Moines. The presence of Trump, along with other Republican figures such as former Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy in Ames, demonstrates the importance of Iowa in the early stages of the campaign. Governor DeSantis is also expected to attend the annual rivalry game, underscoring the significance of the state’s role in the nomination process.
Recent polls shows that Trump is leading in GOP presidential race
Nationally, President Trump remains the clear favorite to secure the Republican nomination in 2024. According to RSBN, Trump has garnered an impressive 60 percent of potential GOP voters’ support, as per the most recent data from Morning Consult. This data showcases Trump’s remarkable 45-point lead over his closest competitor, Governor DeSantis, who secured 15 percent of nationwide Republican support.
In August, President Trump underscored his achievements and his unique connection to Iowa on Truth Social, stating, “Remember, I got the Farmers 28 Billion Dollars from China, the USMCA Trade Deal (& many others!), saved Ethanol, Social Security, and Medicare, & got Iowa ‘First In the Nation’ status. Nobody else could have done this.”
As the 2024 GOP presidential race unfolds, all eyes will remain fixed on Iowa, where Donald Trump has solidified his position as the frontrunner, setting the stage for a pivotal contest in the upcoming caucuses.
Disclaimer: This article may contain the viewpoint and opinion of the author.