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2024 California Republican Primary Polls

2024 California Republican Primary Polls

Last updated on March 28th, 2024 at 10:24 pm

In the upcoming 2024 presidential year, California’s primary has been moved to March instead of June, positioning it as a critical contest for the Republican nomination. The California Republican Party recently made significant changes to its primary rules, potentially allowing one candidate to secure all 169 of the state’s delegates, the largest delegate count among all states.

The 2024 California Republican presidential primary is scheduled for March 5, aligning with Super Tuesday, when 14 other states will also hold their primaries.

Under the previous rules, candidates could win three delegates in each congressional district, enabling them to focus on specific regions without conducting a costly statewide campaign. This approach allowed multiple candidates to secure delegates in previous primaries.

However, the March primary introduces a new system: if any candidate garners over 50% of the statewide votes, they will earn all 169 delegates. Alternatively, if no candidate achieves a majority, delegates will be distributed proportionally based on their share of the overall statewide vote. Notably, California’s primary offers the largest portion of the approximately 1,234 delegates required to secure the Republican nomination.

Early polls indicate that California’s GOP voters are more cautious about nominating Trump again compared to other states. This dynamic emphasizes the state’s significance for any challenger aiming to secure victory. With the primary set shortly after the initial four states, the race will intensify as contenders strive to amass enough support to achieve a majority before Super Tuesday.

To clinch the GOP nomination, Republican candidates need to secure around 1,234 delegates out of an estimated total of 2,467.

As we traverse the evolving landscape of the 2024 California Republican Primary, we stand by your side, committed to delivering the most current, comprehensive insights. Stay engaged, for the unfolding chapters of this political saga will paint a vivid portrait of aspirations, choices, and the ardent pursuit of delegates – elements that collectively pave the road to clinching the Republican nomination.

Related | Democratic Primary Polls | IOWA Caucus Polls | NH Primary Polls | Republican Polls | SC Primary Polls | Nevada Polls

Average Data of Recent California Republican Primary Polls:

CandidatesPoll Average
trump Donald Trump75.6%
Nikki Haley Nikki HaleyDropout
Ron DeSantis Ron DeSantisDropout
Asa Hutchinson Asa HutchinsonDropout
Vivek Ramaswamy Vivek RamaswamyDropout
Chris Christie Chris ChristieDropout
tim scott Tim ScottDropout
Doug Burgum Doug BurgumDropout
Source– Racetothewh & Fivethirtyeight

List Of Recent California Republican Primary Polls:

DATEPOLLSRESULTWHO / WHAT
P- March 4
C- Feb 29-Mar 3
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet ResearchTrump +51
P- March 4
C- Feb 29-Mar 3
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet ResearchTrump +43
P- Feb 29
C- Feb 24-27
Emerson CollegeTrump +58The Hill, Inside California Politics
P- March 1
C- Feb 22-26
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesTrump +60Los Angeles Times
P- Feb 20
C- Feb 16-18
Emerson CollegeTrump +52The Hill, Inside California Politics
P- Feb 14
C- Feb 6-13
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaTrump +40PPIC Statewide Survey
P- Feb 14
C- Feb 6-13
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaTrump +47PPIC Statewide Survey
P- Feb 7
C- Jan 23-Feb4
Morning ConsultTrump +67Morning Consult Pro
P- Feb 1
C- Jan 21-29
University of Southern California Dornsife Center for Economic and Social ResearchTrump +42University of Southern California Poll
P- Jan-18
C- Jan 11-14
Emerson CollegeTrump +52Inside California Politics survey
P- Jan-15
C- Jan 4-8
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesTrump +55Los Angeles Times
C- Nov 1-30Morning ConsultTrump +61Morning Consult Survey
P- Dec 6
C- Nov 9-16
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaTrump +43PPIC Statewide Survey
P- Nov 17
C- Nov 11-14
Emerson CollegeTrump +53Emerson College Polling/Inside California Politics survey
P- Nov 17
C- Oct 24-30
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesTrump +45UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll
P- Nov 9
C- Oct 3-19
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaTrump +41PPIC Statewide Survey
P- Oct 3
C- Oct 1
Data ViewpointTrump +32Poll of California Voters
P- Oct 10
C- Oct. 9-10
Public Policy PollingTrump +50Trump leads with Michigan GOP
P- Oct 11
C- Oct 6-9
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company ResearchTrump +46Fox News Poll
P- Oct 10
C- Oct 6-8
Morning ConsultTrump +49Morning Consult Pro
P- Oct 10
C- Oct. 4-7
HarrisXTrump +44The Messenger
P- Oct 10
C- Oct. 3-5
Morning ConsultTrump +48Morning Consult Pro
P- Oct 9
C- Oct 3-5
CygnalTrump +48latest national poll data
P- Oct 5
C- Sep 30-Oct 3
YouThe Economist/YouGov PollGovTrump +45The Economist/YouGov Poll
P- Oct 5
C- Sep 30-Oct 3
SurveyUSATrump +56SurveyUSA Election Poll
P- Oct 3
C-Sep 29-Oct 3
Big VillageTrump +46Big Village CARAVAN Political Poll
P- Oct 3
C-Sep 29-Oct 3
Big VillageTrump +46Big Village CARAVAN Political Poll
P- Oct 3
C-Sep 29-Oct 3
Big VillageTrump +48Big Village CARAVAN Political Poll
P- Oct 5
C- Oct. 1-2
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesTrump +35DeSantis Crushed by Trump
C- Oct 1Data ViewpointTrump +32Poll conducted by Data Viewpoint
P- Sep 27
C-Aug.25-Sep.5
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaTrump +34PPIC Statewide Survey
P- Sep 6
C-Aug 24-29
University of California, BerkeleyTrump +39UC Berkeley
IGS Poll
P- Jul13
C- June 7-29
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaTrump +26PPIC Statewide Survey
P- Jul12
C- June 4-7
Emerson CollegeTrump +35California Poll
P- Jul13
C- June 7-29
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaTrump +29PPIC Statewide Survey
P- May18
C- May 17-22
BerkeleyTrump +18Berkeley IGS Poll
P- Feb24
C- Feb 14-22
BerkeleyTrump +8Berkeley IGS Poll
Data Source– Racetothewh & Fivethirtyeight

*Where (P) Denotes Publish Date & (C) Denotes Conduct Date in the Date Section

Some of these data are subject to change, We continuously update when new polls arrive.

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