In a hypothetical presidential rematch for the 2024 election, former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden are tied with 43% of the overall vote, according to a recent New York Times/Siena College poll.
However, both candidates continue to face significant disapproval from voters, with 54% disapproving of President Biden and 55% disapproving of Donald Trump.
The tied support between Trump and Biden indicates a closely contested race in a potential rematch. With both candidates having similar levels of disapproval, it suggests a polarized electorate and a challenging path for either candidate to secure a decisive victory.
The dominance of Donald Trump in GOP Primary: Donald Trump has emerged as the frontrunner in the Republican primary, according to the first New York Times/Siena College poll of the 2024 campaign.
Trump holds a commanding lead with 54% support among GOP primary voters. His nearest competitor, Florida Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis, lags significantly behind with just 17% support.
Despite Governor DeSantis’s campaign arguments of being more electable and a more effective leader than Trump, the poll data shows that these messages have not resonated strongly with Republican voters. Even among those motivated by issues championed by DeSantis, such as fighting “radical woke ideology,” the majority still favored Trump.
The current GOP primary season is unlike any other, as a former president, Donald Trump, leads the race, enjoying substantial advantages across various demographic groups and ideological wings of the party. This unique scenario has contributed to a lack of direct comparisons with previous cycles, making the race unpredictable.
Despite facing two federal indictments, Donald Trump’s legal challenges have not resulted in a decline in his polling numbers within the GOP primary. Experts suggest that these challenges have, in fact, contributed to a rally of support from Republicans, with some perceiving the charges as politically motivated and questioning their legitimacy.
Biden’s Perceived Weaknesses in the Democratic Primary: While President Biden currently enjoys a larger margin of victory in the Democratic primary with 64% of the vote, a significant portion of Democratic voters seeks a strong challenger.
Concerns about Biden’s advanced age and subpar job performance have led to 39% of primary voters preferring a different candidate.
The New York Times/Siena College poll sheds light on the current state of the 2024 presidential election, with Trump and Biden evenly matched in a hypothetical rematch. While Trump dominates the GOP primary, Biden faces scrutiny from within the Democratic party.
As the election date approaches, these poll results and expert opinions will continue to influence the political landscape and shape the strategies of the candidates.