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Is Trump Winning the Early GOP Presidential Primary?


Last updated on May 31st, 2023 at 12:15 am

Former President Donald Trump remains a powerful force in Republican politics. He enjoys widespread support from GOP voters, and early polls show that Trump is the clear frontrunner for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. Is Trump winning the early GOP Presidential Primary?

The short answer is yes, at least for now. Trump’s popularity and influence among Republican voters are undeniable. According to Civiqs, 78% of registered Republican voters have a favorable view of the former president, and only 12% have an unfavorable view. This level of support is impressive, especially considering the numerous controversies and legal challenges that have dogged Trump since he left office.

Moreover, early polls show Trump is the clear favorite to win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. In a recent survey, over half of the potential Republican primary voters (53%) said they would back Trump if the primary or caucus were held in their state today, compared to 24% who would support Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Other declared challengers for the GOP’s nomination, such as former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley and Vivek Ramaswamy, have meager support, with only 4% and 3% of the party’s electorate backing them, respectively.

With the 2024 presidential election coming up, there is a surge in the number of people supporting Donald Trump. Trump will host a gathering at Mar-A-Lago today April 21, 2023, which will be attended by a group of congressmen and congresswomen who support his candidacy for the presidency. Trump expressed his gratitude for the support of his people, including politicians and Trump supporters, who are spread all over the world.

Recently, two Florida congressmen, John Rutherford, and Brian Mast, endorsed Trump’s bid for the presidency. Currently, seven Florida congressmen have supported Trump’s 2024 campaign. Tennessee Republican Rep. Diana Harshbarger also endorsed Trump on Sunday, April 16. This growing wave of endorsements for Trump poses a challenge for other candidates, as several prominent Florida lawmakers have already pledged their support for him.

These endorsements from influential politicians could give Trump a significant advantage in the race for the Republican nomination. It also suggests that Trump’s base of supporters is still strong and energized, making it difficult for other candidates to compete against him in the primaries.

Trump believes that his approach and working style during his presidency was liked by people, and he did an excellent job for Americans. He thinks he has the potential to run America again as before. Trump’s administration is one of the most successful administrations in history. He is excited about the gathering and looks forward to having a great night with his supporters.

This early dominance can be attributed to Trump’s unique ability to mobilize the Republican base, particularly those without college degrees. In state and national surveys measuring support for the next Republican nomination, Trump consistently performs much better among GOP voters without a college education than among those with a four-year or graduate college degree. This education divide among primary voters has been described as the “wine track” (centered on college-educated voters) and the “beer track” (revolving around those without degrees). The Wine track Vs Beer track divide emerged as the defining characteristic of the 2016 GOP race when Trump’s extraordinary success at attracting Republicans without a college degree allowed him to overcome sustained resistance from the voters with one.

Although Trump’s legal troubles and his role in the GOP’s underwhelming midterm election performance have left him vulnerable. Trump’s recent indictment in New York on 34 felony counts related to paying hush money to a porn star joins a long list of dubious historical firsts. Furthermore, some Republicans have grown tired of Trump’s divisive rhetoric and authoritarian tendencies, and are actively seeking an alternative candidate for the party’s nomination.

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is widely expected to run for president in 2024, and recent polls show he is the only other candidate with significant support among Republican primary voters. DeSantis has positioned himself as a Trump ally and has actively courted the former president’s base. However, he also has his base of support and has been praised for his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Florida.

Other potential candidates include Senators Tom Cotton and Tim Scott, and former Vice President Mike Pence. These candidates may struggle to attract Trump’s base of support, but they could appeal to more moderate Republicans who are turned off by Trump’s rhetoric and style.

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